firstYearInNewRegime,BreakAnnualAggLossDevModelOutput-method

The object from which to plot and/or return the posterior change point estimate.

object

A logical value. If <code>TRUE</code>, the plot is generated and the statistics are returned; otherwise only the statistics are returned.

plot

A method to plot and/or return the posterior change point.

Bayesian analysis of loss development on insurance triangles or 'BALD' is a Bayesian model of developing aggregate loss triangles in property casualty insurance. This actuarial model makes use of a heteroskedastic and skewed t-likelihood with endogenous degrees of freedom, employs model averaging by means of Reversible Jump MCMC, and accommodates a structural break in the path of the consumption of benefits. Further, the model is capable of incorporating expert information in the calendar year effect. In an accompanying vignette, this model is applied to two widely studied General Liability and Auto Bodily Injury Liability loss triangles. For a description of the methodology, see Frank A. Schmid (2010) <doi:10.2139/ssrn.1501706>.

firstYearInNewRegime,BreakAnnualAggLossDevModelOutput-method: A method to plot and/or return the posterior change point.

Description

Arguments

Value

See Also