ProbForecastGOP (version 1.3.2)

phase1temp: Temperature in the Pacific Northwest during January-June 2000

Description

This data set gives the observed and the 48-hour forecast temperature (in degree Celsius) at 0 hours GMT for 1092 stations located in the North American Pacific Northwest during the period January-June 2000, as provided by the Aviation (AVN) member of the University of Washington MM5 Mesoscale Ensemble.

Usage

data(phase1temp)

Format

A matrix with 56489 rows and 6 columns. The columns are: date.obs a numeric vector giving the date of observations in the YYYYMMDDHH format. name.stat a character string giving the identifier of the metereological stations. lon.stat a numeric vector giving the longitudes of the metereological stations. lat.stat a numeric vector giving the latitudes of the metereological stations. forecast a numeric vector giving the 48-hr temperature forecasts as provided by the Aviation (AVN) member of the University of Washington MM5 ensemble. obs a numeric vector giving the observed temperatures.

References

Gel, Y., Raftery, A. E., Gneiting, T. (2004). Calibrated mesoscale weather field forecasting: The Geostatistical Output Perturbation (GOP) method (with discussion). Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 99 (467), 575--583.

Grimit, E. P., Mass, C. F. (2002). Initial results of a mesoscale short-range ensemble forecasting system over the Pacific Northwest. Weather and Forecasting 17, 192--205.