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fivethirtyeight (version 0.6.2)

wwc_2019: 2019 Women's World Cup Predictions

Description

The raw data behind the story "2019 Women<U+2019>s World Cup Predictions" https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-womens-world-cup-predictions/

Usage

wwc_2019_forecasts

wwc_2019_matches

Arguments

Format

2 dataframes about the 2019 Women's World Cup matches and teams

An object of class spec_tbl_df (inherits from tbl_df, tbl, data.frame) with 52 rows and 18 columns.

wwc_2019_forecasts

A data frame with 192 rows representing 2019 Women's World Cup team match-by-match projections, and 21 variables:

date

Date match was played

team

Team

group

Assigned group for the group stage

spi

Soccer power index

global_o

SPI offensive rating

global_d

SPI defensive rating

sim_wins

Simulated number of wins

sim_ties

Simulated number of ties

sim_losses

Simulated number of losses

sim_goal_diff

Simulated difference between goals_scored and goals_against

goals_scored

The number of goals that a team is expected to score against an average team on a neutral field

goals_against

The number of goals that a team is expected to concede against an average team on a neutral field

group_1

Chance of winning group stage game 1

group_2

Chance of winning group stage game 2

group_3

Chance of winning group stage game 3

group_4

Chance of winning group stage game 4

make_round_of_16

Chance of playing in the round of 16

make_quarters

Chance of playing in the quarter-finals

make_semis

Chance of playing in the semi-finals

make_final

Chance of playing in the finals

win_league

Chance of winning the tournament

wwc_2019_matches

2019 Women's World Cup Predictions A data frame with 52 rows representing Women's World Cup matches, and 18 variables:

date

Date match was played

team1

Team 1

team2

Team 2

spi1

Soccer power index of team 1

spi2

Soccer power index of team 2

prob1

Probability that team 1 will win match

prob2

Probability that team 2 will win match

prob_tie

Probability that the teams will tie the match

proj_score1

Projected number of goals scored by team 1

proj_score2

Projected number of goals scored by team 2

score1

Actual number of goals scored by team 1

score2

Actual number of goals scored by team 2

xg1

Shot-based expected goals for team 1

xg2

Shot-based expected goals for team 2

nsxg1

Non-shot expected goals for team 1

nsxg2

Non-shot expected goals for team 2

adj_score1

Goals scored by team 1 accounting for the conditions under which each goal was scored

adj_score2

Goals scored by team 2 accounting for the conditions under which each goal was scored