forecast (version 7.3)

tslm: Fit a linear model with time series components

Description

tslm is used to fit linear models to time series including trend and seasonality components.

Usage

tslm(formula, data, subset, lambda=NULL, biasadj=FALSE, ...)

Arguments

formula

an object of class "formula" (or one that can be coerced to that class): a symbolic description of the model to be fitted.

data

an optional data frame, list or environment (or object coercible by as.data.frame to a data frame) containing the variables in the model. If not found in data, the variables are taken from environment(formula), typically the environment from which lm is called.

subset

an optional subset containing rows of data to keep. For best results, pass a logical vector of rows to keep. Also supports subset() functions.

lambda

Box-Cox transformation parameter. Ignored if NULL. Otherwise, data are transformed via a Box-Cox transformation.

biasadj

Use adjusted back-transformed mean for Box-Cox transformations. If TRUE, point forecasts and fitted values are mean forecast. Otherwise, these points can be considered the median of the forecast densities.

...

Other arguments passed to lm()

Value

Details

tslm is largely a wrapper for lm() except that it allows variables "trend" and "season" which are created on the fly from the time series characteristics of the data. The variable "trend" is a simple time trend and "season" is a factor indicating the season (e.g., the month or the quarter depending on the frequency of the data).

See Also

forecast.lm, lm.

Examples

y <- ts(rnorm(120,0,3) + 1:120 + 20*sin(2*pi*(1:120)/12), frequency=12)
fit <- tslm(y ~ trend + season)
plot(forecast(fit, h=20))