Returns forecasts and other information for univariate Holt-Winters time series models.
# S3 method for HoltWinters
forecast(
object,
h = ifelse(frequency(object$x) > 1, 2 * frequency(object$x), 10),
level = c(80, 95),
fan = FALSE,
lambda = NULL,
biasadj = NULL,
...
)
An object of class "forecast
".
The function summary
is used to obtain and print a summary of the
results, while the function plot
produces a plot of the forecasts and
prediction intervals.
The generic accessor functions fitted.values
and residuals
extract useful features of the value returned by
forecast.HoltWinters
.
An object of class "forecast"
is a list containing at least the
following elements:
A list containing information about the fitted model
The name of the forecasting method as a character string
Point forecasts as a time series
Lower limits for prediction intervals
Upper limits for prediction intervals
The confidence values associated with the prediction intervals
The original time series
(either object
itself or the time series used to create the model
stored as object
).
Residuals from the fitted model.
Fitted values (one-step forecasts)
An object of class "HoltWinters
". Usually the result of
a call to HoltWinters
.
Number of periods for forecasting
Confidence level for prediction intervals.
If TRUE, level is set to seq(51,99,by=3). This is suitable for fan plots.
Box-Cox transformation parameter. If lambda="auto"
,
then a transformation is automatically selected using BoxCox.lambda
.
The transformation is ignored if NULL. Otherwise,
data transformed before model is estimated.
Use adjusted back-transformed mean for Box-Cox transformations. If transformed data is used to produce forecasts and fitted values, a regular back transformation will result in median forecasts. If biasadj is TRUE, an adjustment will be made to produce mean forecasts and fitted values.
Other arguments.
Rob J Hyndman
This function calls predict.HoltWinters
and constructs
an object of class "forecast
" from the results.
It is included for completeness, but the ets
is recommended
for use instead of HoltWinters
.
fit <- HoltWinters(WWWusage,gamma=FALSE)
plot(forecast(fit))
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