Function to calculate predictions and uncertainties of predictions from estimates from multivariate regression analysis of survey data with the item count technique.
# S3 method for ictregBayes
predict(
object,
newdata,
newdata.diff,
direct.glm,
se.fit = FALSE,
interval = c("none", "confidence"),
level = 0.95,
sensitive.item,
...
)predict.ictreg produces a vector of predictions or a matrix
of predictions and bounds with column names fit, lwr, and upr if interval is
set. If se.fit is TRUE, a list with the following components is returned:
vector or matrix as above
standard error of prediction
Object of class inheriting from "ictregBayes" or "ictregBayesMulti"
An optional data frame containing data that will be used to make predictions from. If omitted, the data used to fit the regression are used.
An optional data frame used to compare predictions with predictions from the data in the provided newdata data frame.
A glm object from a logistic binomial regression predicting responses to a direct survey item regarding the sensitive item. The predictions from the ictreg object are compared to the predictions based on this glm object.
A switch indicating if standard errors are required.
Type of interval calculation.
Significance level for confidence intervals.
For the multiple sensitive item design, the integer indicating which sensitive item coefficients will be used for prediction.
further arguments to be passed to or from other methods.
Graeme Blair, UCLA, graeme.blair@ucla.edu and Kosuke Imai, Princeton University, kimai@princeton.edu
predict.ictregBayes produces predicted values, obtained by evaluating
the regression function in the frame newdata (which defaults to
model.frame(object). If the logical se.fit is TRUE,
standard errors of the predictions are calculated. Setting interval
specifies computation of confidence intervals at the specified level or no
intervals.
The mean prediction across all observations in the dataset is calculated,
and if the se.fit option is set to TRUE a standard error for
this mean estimate will be provided. The interval option will output
confidence intervals instead of only the point estimate if set to
TRUE.
Two additional types of mean prediction are also available. The first, if a
newdata.diff data frame is provided by the user, calculates the mean
predicted values across two datasets, as well as the mean difference in
predicted value. Standard errors and confidence intervals can also be added.
For difference prediction, avg must be set to TRUE.
The second type of prediction, triggered if a direct.glm object is
provided by the user, calculates the mean difference in prediction between
predictions based on an ictreg fit and a glm fit from a direct
survey item on the sensitive question. This is defined as the revealed
social desirability bias in Blair and Imai (2010).
In the multiple sensitive item design, prediction can only be based on the
coefficients from one of the sensitive item fits. The sensitive.item
option allows you to specify which is used, using integers from 1 to the
number of sensitive items.
Blair, Graeme and Kosuke Imai. (2012) ``Statistical Analysis of List Experiments." Political Analysis, Vol. 20, No 1 (Winter). available at http://imai.princeton.edu/research/listP.html
Imai, Kosuke. (2011) ``Multivariate Regression Analysis for the Item Count Technique.'' Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 106, No. 494 (June), pp. 407-416. available at http://imai.princeton.edu/research/list.html
ictreg for model fitting
data(race)
if (FALSE) {
bayes.fit <- ictregBayes(y ~ age + college + male + south, data = multi,
treat = "treat", delta.tune = diag(.002, 5), psi.tune = diag(.00025, 5))
bayes.predict <- predict(bayes.fit, interval = "confidence", se.fit = TRUE)
}
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