Extract the estimated transition intensity matrix, and the corresponding standard errors, from a fitted multi-state model at a given set of covariate values.
qmatrix.msm(x, covariates="mean", sojourn=FALSE,
ci=c("delta","normal","bootstrap","none"), cl=0.95,
B=1000, cores=NULL)
A list with components:
Estimated transition intensity matrix.
Corresponding approximate standard errors.
Lower confidence limits
Upper confidence limits
Or if ci="none"
, then qmatrix.msm
just returns the
estimated transition intensity matrix.
If sojourn
is TRUE
, extra components called
sojourn
, sojournSE
, sojournL
and sojournU
are included, containing the
estimates, standard errors and confidence limits, respectively, of the
mean sojourn times in each transient state.
The default print method for objects returned by
qmatrix.msm
presents estimates and confidence limits. To
present estimates and standard errors, do something like
qmatrix.msm(x)[c("estimates","SE")]
A fitted multi-state model, as returned by msm
.
The covariate values at which to estimate the intensity matrix.
This can either be:
the string "mean"
, denoting the means of the covariates in
the data (this is the default),
the number 0
, indicating that all the covariates should be
set to zero,
or a list of values, with optional names. For example
list (60, 1)
where the order of the list follows the order of the covariates originally given in the model formula. Or more clearly, a named list,
list (age = 60, sex = 1)
If some covariates are specified but not others, the missing ones default to zero.
With covariates="mean"
, for factor / categorical variables,
the mean of the 0/1 dummy variable for each factor level is used,
representing an average over all values in the data, rather than a
specific factor level.
Set to TRUE if the estimated sojourn times and their standard errors should also be returned.
If "delta"
(the default) then confidence intervals are
calculated by the delta method, or by simple transformation of the
Hessian in the very simplest cases. Normality on the log scale
is assumed.
If "normal"
, then calculate a confidence interval by
simulating B
random vectors
from the asymptotic multivariate normal distribution implied by the
maximum likelihood estimates (and covariance matrix) of the log
transition intensities and covariate effects, then transforming.
If "bootstrap"
then calculate a confidence interval by
non-parametric bootstrap refitting. This is 1-2 orders of magnitude
slower than the "normal"
method, but is expected to be more
accurate. See boot.msm
for more details of
bootstrapping in msm.
Width of the symmetric confidence interval to present. Defaults to 0.95.
Number of bootstrap replicates, or number of normal simulations from the distribution of the MLEs.
Number of cores to use for bootstrapping using parallel
processing. See boot.msm
for more details.
C. H. Jackson chris.jackson@mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk
Transition intensities and covariate effects are estimated on the log
scale by msm
. A covariance matrix is estimated from the
Hessian of the maximised log-likelihood.
A more practically meaningful parameterisation of a continuous-time Markov model with transition intensities \(q_{rs}\) is in terms of the mean sojourn times \(-1 / q_{rr}\) in each state \(r\) and the probabilities that the next move of the process when in state \(r\) is to state \(s\), \(-q_{rs} / q_{rr}\).
pmatrix.msm
, sojourn.msm
,
deltamethod
, ematrix.msm