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prophet (version 0.6.1)

cross_validation: Cross-validation for time series.

Description

Computes forecasts from historical cutoff points. Beginning from (end - horizon), works backwards making cutoffs with a spacing of period until initial is reached.

Usage

cross_validation(model, horizon, units, period = NULL, initial = NULL)

Arguments

model

Fitted Prophet model.

horizon

Integer size of the horizon

units

String unit of the horizon, e.g., "days", "secs".

period

Integer amount of time between cutoff dates. Same units as horizon. If not provided, 0.5 * horizon is used.

initial

Integer size of the first training period. If not provided, 3 * horizon is used. Same units as horizon.

Value

A dataframe with the forecast, actual value, and cutoff date.

Details

When period is equal to the time interval of the data, this is the technique described in https://robjhyndman.com/hyndsight/tscv/ .