spdep (version 0.4-9)

spautolm: Spatial conditional and simultaneous autoregression model estimation

Description

Function taking family and weights arguments for spatial autoregression model estimation by Maximum Likelihood, using full matrix methods, not suited to large data sets with thousands of observations. With one of the sparse matrix methods, larger numbers of observations can be handled, but the interval= argument should be set. The implementation is GLS using the single spatial coefficient value, here termed lambda, found by line search using optimize to maximise the log likelihood.

Usage

spautolm(formula, data = list(), listw, weights,
 na.action=na.fail, verbose = FALSE, tol.opt = .Machine$double.eps^(2/3),
 family = "SAR", method="full", interval=c(-1,0.999),
 zero.policy = FALSE, cholAlloc=NULL, tol.solve=.Machine$double.eps)

Arguments

formula

a symbolic description of the model to be fit. The details of model specification are given for lm()

data

an optional data frame containing the variables in the model. By default the variables are taken from the environment which the function is called.

listw

a listw object created for example by nb2listw

na.action

a function (default na.fail), can also be na.omit or na.exclude with consequences for residuals and fitted values - in these cases the weights list will be subsetted to remove NAs in the data. Note that only weights

weights

an optional vector of weights to be used in the fitting process

verbose

default=FALSE; if TRUE, reports function values during optimization.

tol.opt

the desired accuracy of the optimization - passed to optimize()

family

character string: either "SAR" or "CAR" for simultaneous or conditional autoregressions; "SMA" for spatial moving average added thanks to Jielai Ma - "SMA" is only implemented for method="full"

method

character string: default "full" for use of full matrices, "SparseM" or "Matrix" for sparse matrices (restricted to spatial weights symmetric or similar to symmetric) using methods in either the SparseM or Matrix pac

interval

search interval for autoregressive parameter when not using method="eigen"; default is c(-1,0.999), optimize will reset NA/NaN to a bound and gives a warning when the interval is poorly set

zero.policy

Include list of no-neighbour observations in output if TRUE --- otherwise zero.policy is handled within the listw argument

cholAlloc

control arguments for memory allocation in chol for sparse matrices in method="SparseM": if NULL, default values are used (larger than SparseM defaults), otherwise a list with elements: nsubmax, nnzlmax, and tmpmax, for example cholAlloc=list

tol.solve

the tolerance for detecting linear dependencies in the columns of matrices to be inverted - passed to solve() (default=double precision machine tolerance). Errors in solve() may constitute indications of poorly scaled variables:

Value

• A list object of class spautolm:
• fit
  a list, with items: coefficients{ML coefficient estimates} SSE{ML sum of squared errors} s2{ML residual variance} imat{ML coefficient covariance matrix} signal_trend{non-spatial component of fitted.values} signal_stochastic{spatial component of fitted.values} fitted.values{sum of non-spatial and spatial components of fitted.values} residuals{difference between observed and fitted values}
• lambda
  ML autoregressive coefficient
• LL
  log likelihood for fitted model
• LL0
  log likelihood for model with lambda=0
• call
  the call used to create this object
• parameters
  number of parameters estimated
• aliased
  if not NULL, details of aliased variables
• na.action
  (possibly) named vector of excluded or omitted observations if non-default na.action argument used

Details

This implementation is based on lm.gls and errorsarlm. In particular, the function does not (yet) prevent asymmetric spatial weights being used with "CAR" family models. It appears that both numerical issues (convergence in particular) and uncertainties about the exact spatial weights matrix used make it difficult to reproduce Cressie and Chan's 1989 results, also given in Cressie 1993.

Note that the fitted() function for the output object assumes that the response variable may be reconstructed as the sum of the trend, the signal, and the noise (residuals). Since the values of the response variable are known, their spatial lags are used to calculate signal components (Cressie 1993, p. 564). This differs from other software, including GeoDa, which does not use knowledge of the response variable in making predictions for the fitting data.

References

Cliff, A. D., Ord, J. K. 1981 Spatial processes, Pion; Ord, J. K. 1975 Estimation methods for models of spatial interaction, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 70, 120-126; Waller, L. A., Gotway, C. A. 2004 Applied spatial statistics for public health, Wiley, Hoboken, NJ, 325-380; Cressie, N. A. C. 1993 Statistics for spatial data, Wiley, New York, 548-568; Ripley, B. D. 1981 Spatial statistics, Wiley, New York, 88-95.

See Also

optimize, errorsarlm

Examples

esarI <- errorsarlm(ft.SID74 ~ 1, data=mdata, listw=sids.nhbr.listw,
 zero.policy=TRUE)
summary(esarI)
esarIa <- spautolm(ft.SID74 ~ 1, data=mdata, listw=sids.nhbr.listw,
 family="SAR")
summary(esarIa)
esarIV <- errorsarlm(ft.SID74 ~ ft.NWBIR74, data=mdata, listw=sids.nhbr.listw,
 zero.policy=TRUE)
summary(esarIV)
esarIVa <- spautolm(ft.SID74 ~ ft.NWBIR74, data=mdata, listw=sids.nhbr.listw,
 family="SAR")
summary(esarIVa)
esarIaw <- spautolm(ft.SID74 ~ 1, data=mdata, listw=sids.nhbr.listw,
 weights=BIR74, family="SAR")
summary(esarIaw)
esarIIaw <- spautolm(ft.SID74 ~ both - 1, data=mdata, listw=sids.nhbr.listw,
 weights=BIR74, family="SAR")
summary(esarIIaw)
esarIVaw <- spautolm(ft.SID74 ~ ft.NWBIR74, data=mdata,
 listw=sids.nhbr.listw, weights=BIR74, family="SAR")
summary(esarIVaw)
ecarIaw <- spautolm(ft.SID74 ~ 1, data=mdata.4, listw=sids.nhbr.listw.4,
 weights=BIR74, family="CAR")
summary(ecarIaw)
ecarIIaw <- spautolm(ft.SID74 ~ both - 1, data=mdata.4,
 listw=sids.nhbr.listw.4, weights=BIR74, family="CAR")
summary(ecarIIaw)
ecarIVaw <- spautolm(ft.SID74 ~ ft.NWBIR74, data=mdata.4,
 listw=sids.nhbr.listw.4, weights=BIR74, family="CAR")
summary(ecarIVaw)
nc_LL$fitIV <- append(fitted.values(ecarIVaw), NA, outl-1)
spplot(nc_LL, c("fitIV"), cuts=12) # Cressie 1993, p. 565
example(NY_data)
lm0 <- lm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata)
summary(lm0)
lm0w <- lm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata, weights=POP8)
summary(lm0w)
esar0 <- errorsarlm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY)
summary(esar0)
esar1f <- spautolm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY, family="SAR", method="full")
summary(esar1f)
require(SparseM)
esar1s <- spautolm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY, family="SAR", method="SparseM")
summary(esar1s)
esar1M <- spautolm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY, family="SAR", method="Matrix")
summary(esar1M)
esar1wf <- spautolm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY, weights=POP8, family="SAR", method="full")
summary(esar1wf)
require(SparseM)
esar1ws <- spautolm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY, weights=POP8, family="SAR", method="SparseM")
summary(esar1ws)
esar1wM <- spautolm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY, weights=POP8, family="SAR", method="Matrix")
summary(esar1wM)
ecar1f <- spautolm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY, family="CAR", method="full")
summary(ecar1f)
require(SparseM)
ecar1s <- spautolm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY, family="CAR", method="SparseM")
summary(ecar1s)
ecar1M <- spautolm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY, family="CAR", method="Matrix")
summary(ecar1M)
ecar1wf <- spautolm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY, weights=nydata$POP8, family="CAR", method="full")
summary(ecar1wf)
require(SparseM)
ecar1ws <- spautolm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY, weights=POP8, family="CAR", method="SparseM")
summary(ecar1ws)
ecar1wM <- spautolm(Z ~ PEXPOSURE + PCTAGE65P + PCTOWNHOME, data=nydata,
 listw=listw_NY, weights=POP8, family="CAR", method="Matrix")
summary(ecar1wM)
data(oldcol)
COL.errW.eig <- errorsarlm(CRIME ~ INC + HOVAL, data=COL.OLD,
 nb2listw(COL.nb, style="W"))
summary(COL.errW.eig)
COL.errW.sar <- spautolm(CRIME ~ INC + HOVAL, data=COL.OLD,
 nb2listw(COL.nb, style="W"))
summary(COL.errW.sar)
data(boston)
gp1 <- spautolm(log(CMEDV) ~ CRIM + ZN + INDUS + CHAS + I(NOX^2)
 + I(RM^2) + AGE + log(DIS) + log(RAD) + TAX + PTRATIO + B + log(LSTAT), 
 data=boston.c, nb2listw(boston.soi), family="SMA")
summary(gp1)