The kth quantile for a survival curve S(t) is the location at which
a horizontal line at height p= 1-k intersects the plot of S(t).
Since S(t) is a step function, it is possible for the curve to have a
horizontal segment at exactly 1-k, in which case the midpoint of the
horizontal segment is returned. This mirrors the standard behavior of
the median when data is uncensored. If the survival curve does not
fall to 1-k, then that quantile is undefined.
In order to be consistent with other quantile functions, the argument
prob of this function applies to the cumulative distribution
function F(t) = 1-S(t).
Confidence limits for the values are based on the intersection of the
horizontal line at 1-k with the upper and lower limits for the
survival curve. Hence confidence limits use the same
p-value as was in effect when the curve was created, and will differ
depending on the conf.type option of survfit.
If the survival curves have no confidence bands, confidence limits for
the quantiles are not available.
When a horizontal segment of the survival curve exactly matches one of
the requested quantiles the returned value will be the midpoint of the
horizontal segment; this agrees with the usual definition of a median
for uncensored data. Since the survival curve is computed as a series
of products, however, there may be round off error.
Assume for instance a sample of size 20 with no tied times and no
censoring. The survival curve after the 10th death is
(19/20)(18/19)(17/18) ... (10/11) = 10/20, but the computed result will
not be exactly 0.5. Any horizontal segment whose absolute difference
with a requested percentile is less than tolerance is
considered to be an exact match.