is_stationary_int
checks the stationarity condition and is_identifiable
checks the identification condition
of the specified GMAR, StMAR, or G-StMAR model.
is_stationary_int(p, M, params, restricted = FALSE)is_identifiable(
p,
M,
params,
model = c("GMAR", "StMAR", "G-StMAR"),
restricted = FALSE,
constraints = NULL
)
Returns TRUE
or FALSE
accordingly.
a positive integer specifying the autoregressive order of the model.
a positive integer specifying the number of mixture components.
a size (2x1) integer vector specifying the number of GMAR type components M1
in the
first element and StMAR type components M2
in the second element. The total number of mixture components is M=M1+M2
.
a real valued parameter vector specifying the model.
Size \((M(p+3)+M-M1-1x1)\) vector \(\theta\)\(=\)(\(\upsilon_{1}\)\(,...,\)\(\upsilon_{M}\), \(\alpha_{1},...,\alpha_{M-1},\)\(\nu\)) where
\(\upsilon_{m}\)\(=(\phi_{m,0},\)\(\phi_{m}\)\(,\)\(\sigma_{m}^2)\)
\(\phi_{m}\)\(=(\phi_{m,1},...,\phi_{m,p}), m=1,...,M\)
\(\nu\)\(=(\nu_{M1+1},...,\nu_{M})\)
\(M1\) is the number of GMAR type regimes.
In the GMAR model, \(M1=M\) and the parameter \(\nu\) dropped. In the StMAR model, \(M1=0\).
If the model imposes linear constraints on the autoregressive parameters:
Replace the vectors \(\phi_{m}\) with the vectors \(\psi_{m}\) that satisfy
\(\phi_{m}\)\(=\)\(C_{m}\psi_{m}\) (see the argument constraints
).
Size \((3M+M-M1+p-1x1)\) vector \(\theta\)\(=(\phi_{1,0},...,\phi_{M,0},\)\(\phi\)\(,\) \(\sigma_{1}^2,...,\sigma_{M}^2,\)\(\alpha_{1},...,\alpha_{M-1},\)\(\nu\)), where \(\phi\)=\((\phi_{1},...,\phi_{p})\) contains the AR coefficients, which are common for all regimes.
If the model imposes linear constraints on the autoregressive parameters:
Replace the vector \(\phi\) with the vector \(\psi\) that satisfies
\(\phi\)\(=\)\(C\psi\) (see the argument constraints
).
Symbol \(\phi\) denotes an AR coefficient, \(\sigma^2\) a variance, \(\alpha\) a mixing weight, and \(\nu\) a degrees of
freedom parameter. If parametrization=="mean"
, just replace each intercept term \(\phi_{m,0}\) with the regimewise mean
\(\mu_m = \phi_{m,0}/(1-\sum\phi_{i,m})\). In the G-StMAR model, the first M1
components are GMAR type
and the rest M2
components are StMAR type.
Note that in the case M=1, the mixing weight parameters \(\alpha\) are dropped, and in the case of StMAR or G-StMAR model,
the degrees of freedom parameters \(\nu\) have to be larger than \(2\).
a logical argument stating whether the AR coefficients \(\phi_{m,1},...,\phi_{m,p}\) are restricted to be the same for all regimes.
is "GMAR", "StMAR", or "G-StMAR" model considered? In the G-StMAR model, the first M1
components
are GMAR type and the rest M2
components are StMAR type.
specifies linear constraints imposed to each regime's autoregressive parameters separately.
a list of size \((pxq_{m})\) constraint matrices \(C_{m}\) of full column rank satisfying \(\phi_{m}\)\(=\)\(C_{m}\psi_{m}\) for all \(m=1,...,M\), where \(\phi_{m}\)\(=(\phi_{m,1},...,\phi_{m,p})\) and \(\psi_{m}\)\(=(\psi_{m,1},...,\psi_{m,q_{m}})\).
a size \((pxq)\) constraint matrix \(C\) of full column rank satisfying \(\phi\)\(=\)\(C\psi\), where \(\phi\)\(=(\phi_{1},...,\phi_{p})\) and \(\psi\)\(=\psi_{1},...,\psi_{q}\).
The symbol \(\phi\) denotes an AR coefficient. Note that regardless of any constraints, the autoregressive order
is always p
for all regimes.
Ignore or set to NULL
if applying linear constraints is not desired.
These functions don't have any argument checks!
is_stationary_int
does not support models imposing linear constraints. In order to use it for a model imposing linear
constraints, one needs to expand the constraints first to obtain an unconstrained parameter vector.
Note that is_stationary_int
returns FALSE
for stationary parameter vectors if they are extremely close to the boundary
of the stationarity region.
is_identifiable
checks that the regimes are sorted according to the mixing weight parameters and that there are no duplicate
regimes.
Kalliovirta L., Meitz M. and Saikkonen P. 2015. Gaussian Mixture Autoregressive model for univariate time series. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 36(2), 247-266.
Meitz M., Preve D., Saikkonen P. 2023. A mixture autoregressive model based on Student's t-distribution. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 52(2), 499-515.
Virolainen S. 2022. A mixture autoregressive model based on Gaussian and Student's t-distributions. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 26(4) 559-580.