A data set with (constructed) binary predictions relevant in the 2020 UK Covid-19 epidemic.
binary_example_dataA data frame with 346 rows and 10 columns:
the date for which a prediction was made
the target to be predicted (short form)
the region for which a prediction was made
long form description of the prediction target
name of the model that generated the forecasts
date on which the forecast was made
forecast horizon in days
probability prediction that true value would be 1
true observed values
Predictions in the data set were constructed based on the continuous example data by looking at the number of samples below the mean prediction. The outcome was constructed as whether or not the actually observed value was below or above that mean prediction. This should not be understood as sound statistical practice, but rather as a practical way to create an example data set.